With a presidential campaign swinging into high gear, the question being asked is how much of an impact all of these new laws will have on the 2012 race.
State officials, political parties and voting experts have all said that the impact could be sizable. Now, a new study to be released Monday by the Brennan Center for Justice at New York University School of Law has tried to
tally just how many voters stand to be affected.
The
center, which has studied the new laws and opposed some of them in
court and other venues, analyzed 19 laws that passed and 2 executive
orders that were issued in 14 states this year, and concluded that they
“could make it significantly harder for more than five million
eligible voters to cast ballots in 2012.”Republicans, who have passed almost all of the new election laws, say they are necessary to prevent voter fraud, and question why photo identification should be routinely required at airports but not at polling sites. Democrats counter that the new laws are a solution in search of a problem, since voter fraud is rare. They worry that the laws will discourage, or even block, eligible voters — especially poor voters, young voters and African-American
voters, who tend to vote for Democrats.
The Justice Department must review the new laws in several states to make sure that they do not run afoul of the Voting Rights Act.
The Supreme Court upheld Indiana’s voter identification law in 2008,
saying that while it found no evidence of the fraud the law was
intended to combat, it also found no evidence that the new
requirements were a burden on voters.“This year there’s been a significant wave of new laws in states across the country that have the effect of cracking down on voting rights,” said Michael Waldman, the executive director of the Brennan Center, who noted that five million votes would have made a difference in both the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. “It is the most significant rollback in voting
rights in decades.”
Just
how much of an impact the new laws will have is a matter of some
dispute. Senator Richard J. Durbin, Democrat of Illinois, who held a
hearing on the new laws last month, said they “will make it harder for
millions of disabled, young, minority, rural, elderly, homeless and
low-income Americans to vote.” Republicans note that states like
Georgia and
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